HOT OR NOT LIVE
ENTER_TERMINAL →
REAL-TIME DISLOCATION ENGINE

Where market probabilities
break first.

Hot or Not Live is a high-frequency temporal state reconstruction and dislocation detection system for prediction markets. Scan Kalshi and Polymarket order books in real-time.

LAUNCH PRO TERMINALCORE_BLUEPRINT
HIGHFED-26SEP-T25:Fed cut rate probability spiked +12% in 2m
LIVE_STREAM

01 // L2 Executable Edge

We look past mid-market values to verify edge metrics directly against top-of-book bid and ask size weights, preventing phantom signals.

02 // Platform Decay Models

Platform-aware scalars automatically adjust signal half-life curves (e.g. 1.0x for rapid Polymarket, 2.5x for Kalshi retail-hours discovery).

03 // Imbalance Arbitrage

Monitors and alerts dual contract divergence (such as Polymarket YES/NO sums failing to meet $1.00 parity checks) for zero-risk locking.